Video: Amateur footage of tumbling UARS satellite

Updates on “when and where UARS will hit the Earth” (scroll down for videos).

UARS satellite was expected to plummet down to Earth Friday afternoon but according to the latest updates, changes in bus-size satellite’s trajectory may delay its crash to early Saturday.

“The motion geommetry of the tumbling satellite apparently changed and that makes its fall slower than thought,” NASA revealed in an update on Friday. “There is minimal probability for any debris to crash-land over US but the possibility is not entirely disregarded due to the continuous changin rate of the descent”.

Around 26 large components of the satellite are believed to survive re-entry though Terra’s atmosphere and smash on the ground. The largest piece would be 136 kilogrammes in weight.
“There is 1 in 3200 chance someone of the almost 7 billion inhabitants of the Earth to be struck by debris from spacecraft, however the odds for a particular person are 1 in several trillions,” NASA’s Mark Matney said.

Amateur video of crashing UARS satellite
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Where will UARS fall? (video crash site analysis)
Well, the answer to this question is yet to remain unknown. Probably a good prediction might be given just a few hours before the crash, which now is expected to occur early Saturday (Sep. 24, 2011).
“It is still hard to predict the exact time and crash location with high accuracy but estimations will become more refined in the coming 12-18 hours”, NASA wrote in the latest online statement/update.
What anyone could guess, the space junks will more likely fall in the oceans as 75% of the planet is covered with water. These odds were predicted also by the California-based Aerospace Corporation’s Center for Orbital and Re-Entry Debris Studies. The scientists predicted in latest updates that UARS atmosphere-entry will take place over South Pacific at about 1:00 GMT on Sep. 24 but yet no one can bet on that.

Video: Prediction debris location of crashing satellite

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